Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 35.34%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.02%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (13.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 34.33% | 30.33% | 35.34% |
| Both teams to score 41.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.88% | 66.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.34% | 84.66% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.9% | 36.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.12% | 72.88% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.6% | 35.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.84% | 72.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 13.02% 2-1 @ 6.89% 2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.98% Total : 34.33% | 1-1 @ 13.52% 0-0 @ 12.78% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.33% | 0-1 @ 13.27% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 6.89% 1-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.11% Total : 35.34% |