Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 47.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 25.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Santa Clara |
47.66% | 26.65% | 25.69% |
Both teams to score 47.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.48% | 56.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.49% | 77.51% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.26% | 23.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.11% | 57.88% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.45% | 37.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.67% | 74.33% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 12.82% 2-0 @ 9.22% 2-1 @ 9.03% 3-0 @ 4.42% 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-1 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.59% Total : 47.66% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.92% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 8.73% 1-2 @ 6.15% 0-2 @ 4.28% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.69% Total : 25.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |