Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Nacional |
45.45% | 29.5% | 25.06% |
Both teams to score 39.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.94% | 66.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.37% | 84.63% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% | 29.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.75% | 65.25% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.44% | 43.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.24% | 79.76% |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 15.66% 2-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 7.99% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.38% Total : 45.44% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 12.75% 2-2 @ 3.32% Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.48% | 0-1 @ 10.6% 1-2 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1% Total : 25.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
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