Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.27%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Tondela |
| 45.27% | 29.58% | 25.15% |
| Both teams to score 39.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.75% | 66.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.25% | 84.75% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.53% | 29.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.53% | 65.47% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.42% | 43.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.22% | 79.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 15.69% 2-0 @ 9.59% 2-1 @ 7.96% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.19% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.36% Total : 45.27% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 12.84% 2-2 @ 3.31% Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.58% | 0-1 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 4.43% 1-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.23% 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1% Total : 25.14% |