Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.13%) and 1-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 29.88% | 29.79% | 40.34% |
| Both teams to score 41.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.9% | 65.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.04% | 83.96% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.15% | 38.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.42% | 75.58% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% | 31.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.91% | 68.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 6.32% 2-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.54% Total : 29.87% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 12.3% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.78% | 0-1 @ 14.14% 0-2 @ 8.13% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-3 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.92% Total : 40.33% |