Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
17.61% | 23.97% | 58.42% |
Both teams to score 44.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.27% | 54.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.96% | 76.04% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.14% | 44.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.17% | 80.82% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.46% | 18.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.21% | 49.79% |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 6.67% 2-1 @ 4.5% 2-0 @ 2.67% 3-1 @ 1.2% 3-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.55% Total : 17.61% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.62% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 14.01% 0-2 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 9.47% 0-3 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 5.32% 0-4 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.06% Total : 58.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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