Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 17.61% | 23.97% | 58.42% |
| Both teams to score 44.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.27% | 54.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.96% | 76.04% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.14% | 44.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.17% | 80.82% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.46% | 18.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.21% | 49.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 6.67% 2-1 @ 4.5% 2-0 @ 2.67% 3-1 @ 1.2% 3-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.55% Total : 17.61% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.62% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 14.01% 0-2 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 9.47% 0-3 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 5.32% 0-4 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.06% Total : 58.41% |