Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.3%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 26.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Moreirense |
| 45.3% | 28.15% | 26.54% |
| Both teams to score 44.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.79% | 61.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.85% | 81.15% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.98% | 27.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.63% | 62.37% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.58% | 39.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.88% | 76.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 13.93% 2-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 8.49% 3-0 @ 3.98% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.83% Total : 45.29% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.45% Total : 26.54% |