Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Apr 17, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
2 - 3
Tondela

Vitoria (28'), Martins (43')
Vitoria (20'), Conte (41'), Simao (78'), Soares (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Gonzalez (4', 10', 12')
Alves (59'), Pedro (61'), Bebeto (62'), Tavares (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (11.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Tondela
36.59%	29%	34.41%

Both teams to score 44.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.14%

61.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.37%

81.63%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.68%

32.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17%

68.83%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.24%

33.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.58%

70.42%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 36.59%

Tondela 34.41%

Draw 29%

Moreirense	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 12.32% 2-1 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.59%	1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 10.91% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.6% Total : 29%	0-1 @ 11.85% 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.41%