Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tondela | Draw | Belenenses |
37.22% | 28.61% | 34.17% |
Both teams to score 45.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.49% | 60.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.38% | 80.62% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.76% | 31.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.42% | 67.58% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.79% | 33.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.18% | 69.82% |
Score Analysis |
Tondela | Draw | Belenenses |
1-0 @ 12.07% 2-1 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 3% Total : 37.22% | 1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.6% | 0-1 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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