Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Tondela |
| 42.22% | 27.54% | 30.24% |
| Both teams to score 47.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.47% | 57.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.68% | 78.31% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% | 26.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.77% | 62.23% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.56% | 34.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.85% | 71.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 12.16% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.99% Total : 42.21% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 5.27% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.24% Total : 30.24% |