Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Apr 10, 2021 at 6pm UK

Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela
0 - 2
Porto

Grau (39'), Medioub (48'), Bebeto (58'), Martinez (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Martinez (19'), Taremi (83')
Otavio (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 14.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.29%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Porto
14.08%	20.65%	65.27%

Both teams to score 47.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.26%

47.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.07%

69.93%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.57%

45.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.72%

81.28%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.17%

13.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.8%

41.2%

Score Analysis

Tondela 14.08%

Porto 65.26%

Draw 20.65%

Tondela	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 4.96% 2-1 @ 3.87% 2-0 @ 1.96% 3-1 @ 1.02% 3-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.27% Total : 14.08%	1-1 @ 9.81% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.65%	0-1 @ 12.43% 0-2 @ 12.29% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-3 @ 8.11% 1-3 @ 6.4% 0-4 @ 4.01% 1-4 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-5 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.55% Total : 65.26%