Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 22, 2021 at 9pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
1 - 0
Guimaraes

Marega (49')
Mensah (55'), Marega (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 14.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Porto in this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
64.53%	21.05%	14.42%

Both teams to score 46.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.33%

48.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.22%

70.78%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.64%

14.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.78%

42.22%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.5%

45.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.67%

81.33%

Score Analysis

Porto 64.52%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 14.42%

Draw 21.05%

Porto	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.67% 2-0 @ 12.3% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 6.27% 4-0 @ 3.86% 4-1 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.47% 5-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.38% Total : 64.52%	1-1 @ 9.99% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.05%	0-1 @ 5.14% 1-2 @ 3.93% 0-2 @ 2.03% 1-3 @ 1.03% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.29% Total : 14.42%