Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 13.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | SC Farense |
| 65.77% | 20.99% | 13.24% |
| Both teams to score 43.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.17% | 50.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.28% | 72.71% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.33% | 14.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.18% | 42.82% |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.38% | 48.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.32% | 83.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% 2-0 @ 13.13% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 6.06% 4-0 @ 4.04% 4-1 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.19% 5-0 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.15% Total : 65.76% | 1-1 @ 9.87% 0-0 @ 7.13% 2-2 @ 3.42% Other @ 0.57% Total : 20.99% | 0-1 @ 5.14% 1-2 @ 3.56% 0-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.69% Total : 13.24% |