Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
64.51% | 21.2% | 14.29% |
Both teams to score 45.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.46% | 49.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.43% | 71.57% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.35% | 14.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.22% | 42.77% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.77% | 46.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.1% | 81.89% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 13% 2-0 @ 12.49% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 6.17% 4-0 @ 3.84% 4-1 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.38% 5-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.14% 5-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.25% Total : 64.51% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 5.22% 1-2 @ 3.87% 0-2 @ 2.02% 1-3 @ 1% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.23% Total : 14.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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