Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
| 64.51% | 21.2% | 14.29% |
| Both teams to score 45.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% | 49.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% | 71.57% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.35% | 14.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.22% | 42.77% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.77% | 46.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.1% | 81.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 13% 2-0 @ 12.49% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 6.17% 4-0 @ 3.84% 4-1 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.38% 5-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.14% 5-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.25% Total : 64.51% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 5.22% 1-2 @ 3.87% 0-2 @ 2.02% 1-3 @ 1% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.23% Total : 14.29% |