Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Braga |
| 20.26% | 25.89% | 53.85% |
| Both teams to score 43.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.66% | 58.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.04% | 78.96% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.1% | 43.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.96% | 80.04% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% | 21.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.03% | 54.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 7.87% 2-1 @ 4.94% 2-0 @ 3.24% 3-1 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.26% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 9.56% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 14.57% 0-2 @ 11.1% 1-2 @ 9.14% 0-3 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 4.65% 0-4 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.9% Total : 53.84% |