Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 29.63% | 27.8% | 42.56% |
| Both teams to score 46.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.32% | 58.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.78% | 79.22% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.49% | 35.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.73% | 72.27% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.74% | 27.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.3% | 62.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 5.19% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.05% Total : 29.63% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.68% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 12.58% 1-2 @ 8.47% 0-2 @ 8.18% 1-3 @ 3.67% 0-3 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.89% Total : 42.56% |