Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 42.23%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 28.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Maritimo |
| 42.23% | 29.29% | 28.47% |
| Both teams to score 42.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.99% | 64.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.8% | 83.19% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.97% | 30.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.84% | 66.15% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.63% | 39.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.93% | 76.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 14.22% 2-0 @ 8.55% 2-1 @ 7.98% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.03% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.37% Total : 42.23% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 11.82% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.28% | 0-1 @ 11.02% 1-2 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.47% Total : 28.47% |