Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Belenenses |
| 61.38% | 22.11% | 16.5% |
| Both teams to score 48.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.74% | 49.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.68% | 71.32% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.44% | 15.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.97% | 43.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.69% | 79.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Belenenses |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% 2-0 @ 11.58% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 6.06% 4-0 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.56% 5-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.13% Total : 61.38% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 0-0 @ 6.69% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.11% | 0-1 @ 5.65% 1-2 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.38% 1-3 @ 1.25% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.64% Total : 16.5% |