Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 19, 2021 at 9.45pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
5 - 1
Maritimo

Goncalves (7', 20', 62'), Karo (21' og.), Plata (75')
Nunes (28'), Coates (46'), Tomas (79')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Beltrame (89')
Jean (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 14.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.77%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Maritimo
63.27%	22.12%	14.61%

Both teams to score 44.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.47%

52.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.81%

74.19%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.95%

16.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.6%

45.4%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.43%

47.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.08%

82.91%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 63.26%

Maritimo 14.61%

Draw 22.11%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 13.96% 2-0 @ 12.77% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 5.79% 4-0 @ 3.57% 4-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.15% 5-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 0.98% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.83% Total : 63.26%	1-1 @ 10.37% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.11%	0-1 @ 5.67% 1-2 @ 3.86% 0-2 @ 2.11% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.03% Total : 14.61%