Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 69.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 11.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Belenenses |
| 69.87% | 18.44% | 11.7% |
| Both teams to score 47.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.32% | 43.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.93% | 66.07% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.68% | 11.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.02% | 35.98% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.29% | 46.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.74% | 82.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Belenenses |
| 2-0 @ 12.54% 1-0 @ 11.51% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 6.94% 4-0 @ 4.96% 4-1 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 2.64% 5-0 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.57% Total : 69.85% | 1-1 @ 8.77% 0-0 @ 5.29% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.74% Total : 18.44% | 0-1 @ 4.02% 1-2 @ 3.34% 0-2 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.7% |