Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 69.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 11.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Belenenses |
69.87% | 18.44% | 11.7% |
Both teams to score 47.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.32% | 43.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.93% | 66.07% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.68% | 11.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.02% | 35.98% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.29% | 46.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.74% | 82.26% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Belenenses |
2-0 @ 12.54% 1-0 @ 11.51% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 6.94% 4-0 @ 4.96% 4-1 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 2.64% 5-0 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.57% Total : 69.85% | 1-1 @ 8.77% 0-0 @ 5.29% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.74% Total : 18.44% | 0-1 @ 4.02% 1-2 @ 3.34% 0-2 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 84 | 27 | 57 | 77 |
2 | Benfica | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 65 | 23 | 42 | 70 |
3 | Porto | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 59 |
4 | Braga | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 59 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 57 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 43 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 35 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 30 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 29 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 29 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 28 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 28 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 62 | -30 | 27 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 22 |
18 | Vizela | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |