Sporting Lisbon
2 - 1
Braga

Cabral (29'), Goncalves (43')
Palhinha (17'), Goncalves (44'), Nunes (49')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Fransergio (20')
Fransergio (45+2'), Tormena (62'), Sequeira (87'), Novais (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Portuguese Super Cup clash between Sporting Lisbon and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Braga
30.04%	28.5%	41.45%

Both teams to score 45.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.04%

60.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.03%

80.96%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.57%

36.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.79%

73.21%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.03%

28.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15%

64.85%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 30.04%

Braga 41.45%

Draw 28.49%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 6.67% 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.9% Total : 30.04%	1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.49%	0-1 @ 13.07% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 8.1% 1-3 @ 3.38% 0-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 1.05% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.58% Total : 41.45%