Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 25, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal

Braga
0 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Fransergio (17'), Gaitan (64'), Horta (78'), Esgaio (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nunes (81')
Inacio (10'), Tomas (77'), Goncalves (90+5'), Adan (90+6')
Inacio (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Braga had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
31.88%	25.78%	42.34%

Both teams to score 54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.95%

50.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.97%

72.02%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.56%

29.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.56%

65.44%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52%

23.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.5%

57.49%

Score Analysis

Braga 31.88%

Sporting Lisbon 42.33%

Draw 25.77%

Braga	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 8.45% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.88%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.77%	0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 8.88% 0-2 @ 7.26% 1-3 @ 4.29% 0-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2% Total : 42.33%