Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
| 21.87% | 25.02% | 53.11% |
| Both teams to score 48.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.39% | 53.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.89% | 75.11% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.51% | 39.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.82% | 76.18% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.83% | 20.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.54% | 52.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 7.4% 2-1 @ 5.5% 2-0 @ 3.44% 3-1 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.37% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.39% Total : 21.87% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 12.75% 0-2 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 9.48% 0-3 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 5.06% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-4 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 2.03% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.66% Total : 53.1% |