Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 21.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vizela |
| 53.58% | 24.55% | 21.86% |
| Both teams to score 49.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.17% | 51.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.41% | 73.59% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.71% | 19.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.97% | 51.03% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.51% | 38.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.76% | 75.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% 2-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 5.27% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-0 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.95% Total : 53.57% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.09% 1-2 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.86% |