Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.85%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 27.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-2 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Gil Vicente |
27.58% | 29.57% | 42.85% |
Both teams to score 41.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.84% | 65.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16% | 84% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.23% | 40.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.65% | 77.35% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% | 30.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.57% | 66.43% |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 5.94% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 1.49% 3-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.29% Total : 27.58% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 12.33% 2-2 @ 3.55% Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.56% | 0-1 @ 14.74% 0-2 @ 8.82% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-3 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.05% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.31% Total : 42.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |