Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (12.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 37.64% | 29.81% | 32.55% |
| Both teams to score 42.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.35% | 64.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.35% | 83.65% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.9% | 33.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.3% | 69.7% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.43% | 36.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.64% | 73.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 13.38% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.64% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.1% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.8% | 0-1 @ 12.17% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.89% Total : 32.54% |