Belenenses

1 - 1

Moreirense

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 34.8%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.85%) and 1-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (13.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.