Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.21%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 26.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.97%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Moreirense |
| 43.21% | 30.58% | 26.21% |
| Both teams to score 38.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.46% | 68.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.71% | 86.29% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% | 31.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.78% | 68.22% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.04% | 43.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.91% | 80.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 16.01% 2-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 7.54% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.9% Total : 43.21% | 0-0 @ 13.97% 1-1 @ 13.16% 2-2 @ 3.1% Other @ 0.34% Total : 30.57% | 0-1 @ 11.48% 1-2 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 4.72% 1-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.82% Total : 26.2% |