Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.25%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Braga |
17.02% | 24.38% | 58.6% |
Both teams to score 42.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.02% | 56.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.12% | 77.88% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.04% | 46.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.55% | 82.45% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.67% | 19.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.9% | 51.1% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 6.86% 2-1 @ 4.26% 2-0 @ 2.59% 3-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.23% Total : 17.02% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 14.91% 0-2 @ 12.25% 1-2 @ 9.27% 0-3 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 5.08% 0-4 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.69% Total : 58.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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