Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 23, 2021 at 7pm UK

Estádio da Capital do Móvel

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 3
Estoril

Delgado (30')
Fonseca (58'), Ferreira (66'), Carlos (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lourenco (45+1'), Franco (78' pen.), Joaozinho (81')
Geraldes (22'), Crespo (37'), Ferraresi (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Estoril Praia
37.66%	29.14%	33.19%

Both teams to score 44.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.56%

62.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.94%

82.06%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.05%

31.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.6%

68.4%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.09%

34.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.35%

71.64%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 37.65%

Estoril Praia 33.19%

Draw 29.13%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 12.72% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 7.26% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.65%	1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.13%	0-1 @ 11.73% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.18% Total : 33.19%