Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.24%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 28.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.54%) and 1-2 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 28.53% | 29.24% | 42.24% |
| Both teams to score 42.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.19% | 63.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.95% | 83.05% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.79% | 39.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.08% | 75.92% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% | 29.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.97% | 66.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 6.2% 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.49% Total : 28.52% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.23% | 0-1 @ 14.15% 0-2 @ 8.54% 1-2 @ 8% 0-3 @ 3.43% 1-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.04% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.39% Total : 42.23% |