Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Moreirense |
50.87% | 27.19% | 21.94% |
Both teams to score 42.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.91% | 61.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.94% | 81.06% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.74% | 24.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.38% | 58.62% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.29% | 43.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.12% | 79.89% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 15.01% 2-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-0 @ 5.02% 3-1 @ 4.16% 4-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.27% Total : 50.86% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 8.78% 1-2 @ 5.14% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.01% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 84 | 27 | 57 | 77 |
2 | Benfica | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 65 | 23 | 42 | 70 |
3 | Porto | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 59 |
4 | Braga | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 59 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 57 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 43 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 35 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 30 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 29 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 29 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 28 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 28 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 62 | -30 | 27 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 22 |
18 | Vizela | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |