Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 30, 2021 at 5pm UK
Estadio D Afonso Henriques
Moreirense

Guimaraes
2 - 0
Moreirense

Amaro (26'), Almeida (30')
Silvio (40'), Amaro (53'), Duarte (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pacheco (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMoreirense
50.87%27.19%21.94%
Both teams to score 42.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.91%61.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.94%81.06%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.74%24.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.38%58.62%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.29%43.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.12%79.89%
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.86%
    Moreirense 21.94%
    Draw 27.17%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 15.01%
2-0 @ 10.63%
2-1 @ 8.8%
3-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 4.16%
4-0 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 50.86%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 10.6%
2-2 @ 3.64%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 8.78%
1-2 @ 5.14%
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 1.42%
2-3 @ 1.01%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.94%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Moreirense

Vitoria de Guimaraes
54.5%
Draw
36.4%
Moreirense
9.1%
11
rhs 2.0


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