Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Portimonense |
| 45.67% | 27.45% | 26.88% |
| Both teams to score 46.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.36% | 58.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.81% | 79.2% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% | 25.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.46% | 60.54% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.29% | 37.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.52% | 74.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 13.15% 2-0 @ 8.95% 2-1 @ 8.73% 3-0 @ 4.06% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.67% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 9.43% 1-2 @ 6.26% 0-2 @ 4.6% 1-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.68% Total : 26.88% |