Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boavista in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Portimonense |
| 37.42% | 28.19% | 34.39% |
| Both teams to score 47.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.53% | 79.47% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% | 30.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.45% | 66.55% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.72% | 32.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.22% | 68.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 1.77% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.42% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.8% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.18% | 0-1 @ 11.07% 1-2 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.38% |