Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 26, 2021 at 7pm UK

Estadio da Madeira

Nacional
1 - 0
Guimaraes

Mendes (7')
Fernandes (15'), Rochez (44'), Azouni (51'), Silvio (59'), Ibrahim Alhassan (81'), Bessa (84'), Rochinha (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
28.25%	27.7%	44.06%

Both teams to score 46.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.15%

58.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.65%

79.36%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.31%

36.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.52%

73.48%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.44%

26.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.23%

61.77%

Score Analysis

Nacional 28.25%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 44.06%

Draw 27.69%

Nacional	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 6.49% 2-0 @ 4.9% 3-1 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.64% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.84% Total : 28.25%	1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.75% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 12.92% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.06%