Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Apr 18, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio da Madeira

Nacional
0 - 1
Porto

Taremi (20')
Camacho (42'), Gorre (56'), Manafa (81'), Haica Rouai (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.19%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Porto
12.07%	19.82%	68.11%

Both teams to score 44.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.33%

48.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.21%

70.79%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.78%

49.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.89%

84.11%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.73%

13.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.92%

40.08%

Score Analysis

Nacional 12.07%

Porto 68.11%

Draw 19.82%

Nacional	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 4.63% 2-1 @ 3.32% 2-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.48% Total : 12.07%	1-1 @ 9.35% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 3.35% Other @ 0.58% Total : 19.82%	0-2 @ 13.32% 0-1 @ 13.19% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-3 @ 8.97% 1-3 @ 6.36% 0-4 @ 4.53% 1-4 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-5 @ 1.83% 1-5 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.58% Total : 68.11%