Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 34.21% | 28.73% | 37.06% |
| Both teams to score 45.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.05% | 60.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.04% | 80.95% |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% | 33.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.96% | 70.04% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.44% | 31.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.04% | 67.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 7.31% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.21% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 12.16% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 7.01% 1-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.92% Total : 37.05% |