Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 20, 2021 at 8pm UK

Mata Real

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 2
Farense

Costa (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gauld (77' pen.), Isidoro (84')
Cesar (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.48%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (12.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	SC Farense
34.27%	29.24%	36.49%

Both teams to score 44.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.34%

62.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.78%

82.22%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.73%

34.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.02%

70.98%

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.2%

32.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.64%

69.36%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 34.26%

SC Farense 36.49%

Draw 29.23%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	SC Farense
1-0 @ 12.03% 2-1 @ 7.18% 2-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-0 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.31% Total : 34.26%	1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.23%	0-1 @ 12.53% 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.49%