Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.48%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (12.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | SC Farense |
34.27% | 29.24% | 36.49% |
Both teams to score 44.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.34% | 62.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.78% | 82.22% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.73% | 34.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.02% | 70.98% |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.2% | 32.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.64% | 69.36% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 12.03% 2-1 @ 7.18% 2-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-0 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.31% Total : 34.26% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.23% | 0-1 @ 12.53% 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
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