Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 2-1 (7.53%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 39.19% | 30.01% | 30.8% |
| Both teams to score 41.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.44% | 65.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.72% | 84.28% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.39% | 32.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.85% | 69.15% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.62% | 38.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.86% | 75.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 14.02% 2-0 @ 7.86% 2-1 @ 7.53% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.69% Total : 39.18% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 12.51% 2-2 @ 3.6% Other @ 0.46% Total : 30% | 0-1 @ 11.98% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.61% Total : 30.79% |