Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Apr 4, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
2 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Silva (41'), Jaime (64')
Valenzuela (77'), Riccieli (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

de Brito Gonzaga (49'), Ferreira (79'), Costa (85'), Eustaquio (90+3'), Ibrahim (90+7')
Ibrahim (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
38.09%	28.55%	33.36%

Both teams to score 45.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.6%

60.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.46%

80.54%

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.35%

30.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.11%

66.89%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.29%

33.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.64%

70.36%

Score Analysis

Famalicao 38.08%

Pacos de Ferreira 33.36%

Draw 28.54%

Famalicao	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 12.21% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 1.68% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.08%	1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.33% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.54%	0-1 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.36%