Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Famalicao |
| 48.64% | 25.34% | 26.03% |
| Both teams to score 51.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.73% | 51.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.89% | 73.11% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% | 21.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% | 53.93% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.59% | 34.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.88% | 71.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.79% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.49% Total : 48.63% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.75% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.13% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.19% Total : 26.03% |