Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Famalicao |
48.64% | 25.34% | 26.03% |
Both teams to score 51.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.73% | 51.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.89% | 73.11% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.9% | 21.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.07% | 53.93% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.59% | 34.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.88% | 71.13% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.79% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.49% Total : 48.63% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.75% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.13% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.19% Total : 26.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |