Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 18, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela
2 - 3
Pacos de Ferreira

Pedro (2', 34')
Martinez (17'), Arcanjo (62'), Anne (90')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Tanque (5', 36'), Ferreira (58')
Costa (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
34.89%	27.75%	37.36%

Both teams to score 48.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.65%

57.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.82%

78.17%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.88%

31.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.55%

67.45%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.42%

29.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.39%

65.61%

Score Analysis

Tondela 34.88%

Pacos de Ferreira 37.36%

Draw 27.74%

Tondela	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 6.27% 3-1 @ 2.97% 3-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.88%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.74%	0-1 @ 11.21% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 6.83% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.36%