Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 37.25% | 28.8% | 33.95% |
| Both teams to score 45.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.78% | 61.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.85% | 81.15% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.42% | 31.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.02% | 67.98% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% | 33.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.61% | 70.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 12.27% 2-1 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.92% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.8% | 0-1 @ 11.57% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 6.29% 1-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.94% |