Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 14.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.13%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 14.5% | 22.74% | 62.77% |
| Both teams to score 42.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.98% | 55.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.71% | 76.29% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.75% | 49.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.86% | 84.13% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.92% | 17.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.73% | 47.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 5.96% 2-1 @ 3.73% 2-0 @ 2.11% Other @ 2.7% Total : 14.5% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 3.29% Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 14.86% 0-2 @ 13.13% 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-3 @ 7.74% 1-3 @ 5.48% 0-4 @ 3.42% 1-4 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-5 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.26% Total : 62.75% |