Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 11, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 1
Porto

Santos (16')
Vinagre (3'), Paulinho (14'), Neto (39'), Porro (43'), Cabral (51'), Adan (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diaz (71')
Costa (2'), Marcano (4'), Pepe (43'), Manafa (56'), Martinez (85')
Martinez (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Porto
28.75%	28.66%	42.59%

Both teams to score 44.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.1%

61.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.34%

81.66%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.04%

37.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.27%

74.73%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.21%

28.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.36%

64.64%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 28.75%

Porto 42.58%

Draw 28.66%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 6.38% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.66% Total : 28.75%	1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.66%	0-1 @ 13.6% 0-2 @ 8.47% 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-3 @ 3.52% 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.1% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.58% Total : 42.58%