Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.31%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
Result | ||
Tondela | Draw | Estoril Praia |
25.7% | 27.25% | 47.05% |
Both teams to score 45.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.36% | 58.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.81% | 79.19% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.28% | 38.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.54% | 75.46% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.03% | 24.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.39% | 59.61% |
Score Analysis |
Tondela | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 6.04% 2-0 @ 4.35% 3-1 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 1.38% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.53% Total : 25.7% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 13.41% 0-2 @ 9.31% 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-3 @ 4.31% 1-3 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.49% 1-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.26% Total : 47.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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