Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Tondela
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 13, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
Estoril

Tondela
1 - 2
Estoril

Boselli (50')
Boselli (22'), Dadasov (75')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Jorge Tavares Oliveira (20'), Acevedo (44')
Soria (8'), Geraldes (36'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (74'), Gamboa (78'), Rosier (78'), Figueira (81'), Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.31%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
TondelaDrawEstoril Praia
25.7%27.25%47.05%
Both teams to score 45.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.36%58.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.81%79.19%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.28%38.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54%75.46%
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03%24.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39%59.61%
Score Analysis
    Tondela 25.7%
    Estoril Praia 47.05%
    Draw 27.24%
TondelaDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-1 @ 6.04%
2-0 @ 4.35%
3-1 @ 1.91%
3-0 @ 1.38%
3-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 25.7%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 13.41%
0-2 @ 9.31%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-3 @ 4.31%
1-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.49%
1-4 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 47.05%

How you voted: Tondela vs Estoril

Tondela
23.6%
Draw
21.8%
Estoril Praia
54.5%
55
rhs 2.0


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