Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2021 at 9.15pm UK

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
2 - 1
Maritimo

Crespo (28'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (59')
Lourenco (10'), Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (15'), Ferraresi (63'), Figueira (81'), Crespo (85'), Africo (90'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Winck (45')
Vidigal (19'), Andrade (37'), Junior (49'), China (85'), Costa (88'), de Mello Costa (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Maritimo
40.86%	28.21%	30.92%

Both teams to score 46.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.29%

59.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.98%

80.02%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.31%

28.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.49%

64.51%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.91%

35.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.16%

71.84%

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 40.85%

Maritimo 30.92%

Draw 28.2%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 12.56% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.66% Total : 40.85%	1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.2%	0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 6.89% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.13% Total : 30.92%