Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
56.96% | 25.66% | 17.38% |
Both teams to score 40.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.25% | 60.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.19% | 80.8% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.52% | 21.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.49% | 54.51% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.26% | 48.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.23% | 83.76% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 16.1% 2-0 @ 12.38% 2-1 @ 8.9% 3-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 4.56% 4-0 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.82% Total : 56.95% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 3.2% Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 7.52% 1-2 @ 4.16% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1% Other @ 2% Total : 17.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 84 | 27 | 57 | 77 |
2 | Benfica | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 65 | 23 | 42 | 70 |
3 | Porto | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 59 |
4 | Braga | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 59 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 35 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 29 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 29 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 28 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 28 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 62 | -30 | 27 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 22 |
18 | Vizela | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |