Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 38.67%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 30.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.84%) and 1-2 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.46%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
30.65% | 30.67% | 38.67% |
Both teams to score 39.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.48% | 67.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.38% | 85.62% |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.38% | 39.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.7% | 76.3% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.02% | 33.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.34% | 70.66% |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 12.46% 2-1 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.45% Total : 30.65% | 0-0 @ 13.46% 1-1 @ 13.45% 2-2 @ 3.36% Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.67% | 0-1 @ 14.53% 0-2 @ 7.84% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-3 @ 2.82% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |