Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 13, 2021 at 7pm UK

Estadio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
2 - 2
Arouca

Viana (35'), Alipour (45+11' pen.)
Vidigal (7'), Xadas (36'), Rossi (48'), Costa (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bukia (8'), Silva (82')
Miguel Pereira Da Silva (36'), Silva (45+3'), Filipe Alves Araujo (47'), Basso (61'), Kouassi (85'), Dabbagh (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Arouca
40.85%	27.44%	31.71%

Both teams to score 48.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.29%

56.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.34%

77.66%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.74%

27.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.3%

62.69%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.06%

32.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.48%

69.52%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 40.85%

Arouca 31.71%

Draw 27.44%

Maritimo	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.85%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.44%	0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.71%